Archive for the ‘Socio-Economics’ Category

Crowd Funding In Canada

Bank of Canada

It is illegal in Canada to set up or use a service like Kickstarter that allows people to fund projects that they believe in. Some small sites such as StartupFuel or Ideavibes are getting around the rules but they are very limited in scope and really struggling under the regulatory shadow. There are dozens of these services just waiting for the Canadian financial regulators to let them go to work letting us get to work.

What will be even more damaging going forward is that we are even further behind on the crowd investing that was the most important part of the JOBS Act that was passed last month on April 5th, 2012.

Under the JOBS Act, small business and start ups can raise a limited amount of money from investors through a registered crowd funding webservice. There are a lot of rules and regulations around it but it is far less than it has been. It can allow a good idea get that initial seed capital that has stymied so many. It could be anywhere from thousands of dollars to the low millions of dollars.

There are some complaints against the JOBS Act but they are almost exclusively coming from those with vested interests in the status quo and controlling the small investor while ensuring small companies have to go through them if they want funding. There are some areas of caution but those can be addressed without caving to those who want to subjugate regulations to their own interests.

The crux of it is that the Canadian Ruling Class is stifling the start up and the small investor in favour of big business and big finance.

There are three broad aspects to the "crowd" as creators, facilitators and investors. This isn’t carved in stone and there can be plenty of overlap here.

  1. Crowd Sourcing where the crowd does the direct creating. An open source game where the crowd itself does the programming, graphics and audio is an example of this.
  2. Crowd Funding is where the costs are covered by the crowd by way of donations or pre-purchasing of the game so that the creative team can afford to do the programming, graphics and audio themselves. At the end, the funders have the satisfaction of helping and/or a copy of the game with perhaps some limited extras for having funded earlier or to a higher amount.
  3. Crowd Investing is when the crowd actually invests money in the game so that the costs of developing the game are covered and in turn they get a share of the profits from selling the completed game.

Where the above example is for a game, this works for any endeavour that can capture the imagination and support of a "crowd" that is sufficiently large and/or dedicated enough to finance it. It could be a book, a movie, a micro lending institute, a brewery, a better mouse trap, a lunar micro-rover, an artificial intelligence financial advisor app- or to directly address a specific and finite need like building a desalination plant for Haiti where the profit is as much social as financial.

Without the enabling power of crowd funding, millions of great little ideas brewing in the minds of Canadians will never see the light of day or have the chance to grow into amazing big ideas. Billions of dollars and thousands of jobs are going unrealized every day that the government keeps this road-blocked.

The primary stumbling block to this is the professional worrying class and their pathological obsession with the fairy tale of eliminating all risks and downsides. There will be fraud and theft… deal with it. Yes, I mean that literally- deal with the fraud and theft that is inevitable whenever money changes hands. Punishing fraud is a legitimate role of the state BUT it needs to be as rigorous as necessary and not one rule or regulation more. Regulate it so that it can be tracked and when fraud does arise THEN the police step in to investigate and if appropriate they lay criminal charges.

Regulating to placate the worrying class is harmful and immoral as you are actively harming the many for the illusory benefit of the few. It is less damaging to under regulate than to over regulate. The financial mess in the US is not from under regulating but from the fraud being able to hide in the tens of thousands of pages of regulations that the financial institutes themselves "helped" write.

The rules and regulations for crowd funding in the US has set an example we can observe and see where they’ve done things right and where they have gone too far. It is almost axiomatic that they have gone too far since the regulatory bureaucracy devolves to cover their own ass. The regulators won’t get in trouble for the billions that won’t be made but they will get in trouble for letting even the most minor of frauds to take place. It is hard to overstate how important it is that these bureaucratic tendencies be held in check.

One plus in the Canada column is that each province has its own financial regulatory body which means you don’t have to convince both Alberta and Quebec that working hard, taking chances while creating wealth and jobs is a good thing. With different approaches to the opportunity we can have the best ideas rising to the top and be adopted by the other provinces… or the politicians will play politics and stick to their ideology no matter how many times it is proven wrong.

Saving the Future from Malthus

I am a rational optimist so I understand that the Malthusians have absolutely no understanding of economics or resource utilization.

Thomas Malthus has been wrong for two hundred years with Principals of Population.

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The Club of Rome has been wrong for forty years with The Limits to Growth and I am confident that the upcoming ‘2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years’ will be every bit as wrong and yet again an anchor on progress.

Limits-to-Growth-1970-front-cover

The truth is that we are nowhere near running low on resources and the free market will adjust as we do. This very notion is something the pessimistic nihilists cannot see.

Take oil for example- depending on how anti-oil they are, they think that we are either past peak oil or we are going to hit it within the next decade. The problem for them is that we keep finding more oil and more ways to economically extract it. The shale oil in Canada alone would add another hundred years at our current consumption rate. That is another hundred years without any new deposits or technological advances. The irrational antipathy toward oil is at the core for much of the unquestioning adherence to Anthropogenic Global Climate Change. Since we aren’t actually running out, or even low, on oil… millions of petrolphobes have latched onto the combustion by-product of CO2 as a justification to fight oil.

That isn’t to say that AGCC is not happening, just that those who say “the science is settled” have a deep seated psychological need for it to be settled. The evidence shows Global warming was happening at a little over 0.1° Celsius per decade leading up to the Industrial Revolution and that it has meandered around that rate for more than two hundred years. During that two hundred years, humanity has increased our production of CO2 so that it is now about 3% of the total yearly production- which leaves the rest of nature being responsible for 97%. The effect of us having some small part in increasing the CO2 concentration by about 0.011% is lost in the measurement uncertainty.

That said, I really don’t think it is wise to run the experiment of seeing how rising CO2 levels will effect climate, ocean acidity and crop growth… but if we are limited to this one planet then NOT running the experiment would keep billions of people in abject poverty, lower the standard of living for billions more and shackling the rest to a false ceiling. It will get warmer or it will get colder and the only way we can take advantage of whatever happens is if we don’t spend ourselves into poverty on futile gestures. The AGCC adherent’s “cure” is worse than the affliction.

Moving on to look at the metals, there are centuries worth of those resources as well. Gold, iron, copper… we have massive reserves still in the ground and we’ve barely scratched at the 70% of the planet that is under water.

And then there is all that water. Access to fresh water is another fear that is used to justify imposing harsh rules and regulations. It is sad that for many people, the only thing more horrifying than hundreds of millions of people dying for lack of fresh water- is cheap energy and the free market. It is the very lack of a market that causes the rampant waste of water in the developed world and a lack of property rights that fuel the shortages in the developing world. A free market economy with strong property rights and cheap energy can afford the fraction of a penny per litre to desalinate the ocean water that covers the planet. Rather than being the answer to water shortages, anti-market governments are the cause.

And “sustainability” would not be an issue as long as the free market is allowed to handle it. As any resource becomes scarcer it becomes more expensive and this naturally creates a market for alternatives and an incentive to reduce/reuse/recycle. When the government comes charging in to save the day it is always going to screw it up as it creates immediate hardship to promote the wrong solution by politically connected cronies. It takes the market decades to fix the problems that the state creates when they try to fix the economy.

With a free market the planet could easily support ten billion more people living at the middle class standards for the developed world… but there would be costs. It would require utilizing far more of the world’s resources, mining and drilling wherever the resources may be and letting the endangered species and pristine wilderness fall by the wayside. As oil becomes more expensive, paving over tens of thousands of square kilometres of the planet in solar panels while building thousands of nuclear power plants will actually become cost competitive… especially with another fifty years of technological advances to bring the costs down.

The crux is that, if you care about limiting our impact on the planet you have only two options; you can hope for a horrible dystopian future with the death of most of humanity… or you can promote the use of resources from off planet.

Planetary-Resources-Big-Splash

moon_express

This is Important

It is a moral imperative that we become a spacefaring species, we owe it to the universe. Humanity becoming a spacefaring species may be the most important event in the history of the universe.

The evidence suggests that life may be ubiquitous where the elements fall into the Goldilocks Zone… and hanging on in a few places that fall outside what is normally considered hospitable to life. There may be life of one form or another on nearly every star system in the universe. Keep in mind that there are hundreds of billions of galaxies each containing hundreds of billions of stars. That is an awful lot of stars- a back of the napkin calculation of something more than 10 sextillion (10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000).

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But we haven’t found one iota of evidence that any of them has climbed to sentience and spread off of their planet of origin. Now absence of evidence isn’t conclusive evidence of absence- but in something as important as intelligent life in the universe, we can’t just ignore it. We may be it.

Absence intelligent life to observe it, the universe isn’t majestic, beautiful or amazing… it has no value whatsoever. That isn’t a slam on the universe, it is a clarification of definition. The concept of “value” is a property bestowed by that which values. If there is no intelligence to give value then value simply does not exist.

One day this planet will end and if it takes with it the only sentient species we are aware of it could well be the greatest catastrophe the universe could ever know.

SpaceX is a vital component with Elon Musk striving to give humanity low cost access to space- and today at 10:30 PST there will be an announcement by a new company called Planetary Resources that may mark the next step on that path.

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The hints have been somewhat cryptic but the people involved point to it being a mission to mine the asteroids.

I have written about space before with ‘You Say We Can’t Leave Earth Until it is Fixed?’ where I talk about how the resources from space will make Earth a far better place from an environmental and social perspective. In ‘Why Go to Space?’, I talk more on the importance of who actually opens space. With ‘Space Inc. and the Unspillable’ I focus on space based solar power along with the television drama I am working on.

This is why I am going to sit on the Spacevidcast Live Channel hoping that their servers can handle the load.

This is important.

Amazon Fumbles Android

They may have really messed up with their Android tablet strategy.

Back in March, I postulated the KindleDroid, a potentially massive move by Amazon into the tablet world. But if the rumours from TechCrunch are accurate then Amazon has missed the bull’s-eye… they may not even be on the paper.

I was hoping for a 10” with almost no bezel and it looks like we’ll have to make do with a 7” and wait until next year for the bigger display. That isn’t a deal breaker.

It is also a regular capacitive touch, backlit LCD with all the visual goodness and power consuming badness that goes with it. This too is not a deal breaker as long as the battery lasts at least ten hours… although the 50 that I guessed at for a colour e-ink display would have been nice. What would be really nice is if they bring some Touchco love to the tablet and give us pressure sensitivity and optional stylus goodness.

The word is that the Kindle Fire will sell it for $250- which is pretty damn nice considering that I was guessing at $100 less than the cheapest iPad 2 and this is $250 less… half the price of the least expensive product from Apple! I am sure that Apple won’t just roll over and let them have that big a price advantage but given the big problem I bring up below, they can probably get by with cutting the entry level iPad 2 by $100 not $250.

I don’t think they have to beat the $249 price tag of the Amazon Kindle because Amazon has crippled the device and fractured the Android market to boot.

That is the deal breaker- they’ve forked Android.

Amazon looks to be building their tablet on an obsolete version of the Android OS with a layer of proprietary Amazon bolted onto it that will ghettoize their customers.

There is very little they could have done to mess up the tablet but this is at the top of the list. The HP TouchPad and RIM PlayBook screwed up by trying to force yet another tablet OS on the user. Right now we have Apple’s iOS and Android and any different OS has to be a massive improvement or it is screwing the customer- not just different for difference sake. The Amazon tablet looks to be different simply for the sake of locking the customer in.

I’m not saying that it will backfire on them hard, but it should if the customer is even a little bit more savvy than Amazon gives them credit for.

I am sure that Amazon crunched the numbers pretty hard to figure out how much they would sell through a captive KindleDroid and how much that would allow them to subsidize the per unit sales price. My bet is that they figured that forking Android OS and locking the customer in was the only way for them to wiggle the price down to $250. They may think that this will allow them to corner a bigger percentage of the market and that was justification enough for them spend millions of dollars crippling the system.

Problem #1: It will only run apps that are specifically coded for an old, forked version of the Android OS with their additions. I am sure the app developers are overjoyed that, if they want their apps to run on the Amazon tablet, they will have to rewrite their old apps and dual stream the coding of their new apps. The Amazon customer will get a subset of available apps unless they take advantage of “Problem #2”.

Problem #2: It will take a whole day or three for the hackers to jailbreak the Amazon Kindle so that it will run an up to date version of the Android OS. How much money are they going to lose with tens of thousands of people buying the subsidized tablet just to set it free with the current version of Android OS?

It would have cost a fraction of what they spent if Amazon had just skinned and integrated their system on top of a fully functional and up to date version of the Android OS. There would be no fracturing of the market and no incentive to root their tablet.

Amazon gives great service and they are set to become even better- so it puzzles me why they thought they had a need to try and lock their customers away from any competing services?

Jeff, if you still have any influence in the boardroom, you might want to tell the bean counters that they are screwing your customers- trading long term growth for short term profits.

Unless of course you feel that both iOS and Android OS are doomed by the full OS with tablet integration? We will get Windows 8 next year and unless Apple has bought into their own marketing (it’s happened), they will do at least as good a job as Microsoft integrating a touch interface into the next integer upgrade of the MacOS.

Amazon’s strategy might make sense as a rear guard action against the next three to five years of market near-chaos as the limited capability tablet OS is subsumed back into the full OS. It isn’t in the best interests of the customer but Amazon might think it will help them better weather the storm.

I may well end up buying both the Amazon Kindle and the iPad 2 (or 3) just to ensure that my e-books work as cleanly as possible on both platforms.

That in itself is an indictment of how Amazon and Apple are treating their sheep customers.

To Create an Oligarchy You Must Regulate.

KvFinkenstein-Sopranos

Yes it’s a protection racket…
do your really think it is us they are protecting?

Well, we’re wending our way through another round of renewal hearings on the television industry up and we are being assured that this time they will fix things. They won’t change anything of course but if we all wish really hard then they are sure that things will work out better this time ‘round.

Not that anything is decided at these hearings, not even the in-camera portions. I would bet that any changes, or lack therein of, will be agreed on over lunches and in backroom meetings that we never hear about.

I say it is time that the CRTC slept with the fishes.

The CRTC was originally created to conserve and regulate a scarce resource of spectrum to ensure that Canada’s culture is protected.

First off, their is no scarce spectrum any more- we can have a million channels if anyone wanted to fill them. The CRTC is trapped pretending that the industry they oversee hasn’t changed in the last half century. They can’t work with the world as it actually is or it would be obvious that they serve no purpose and are simply an anachronistic throwback that needs to be trimmed to help balance the budget.

What’s that you say; they are still charged with protecting Canadian culture? And how good a job are they doing there? The rules they create are designed to ensure that Canadians will be protected from the cultural imperialism of the big bad American media machine by… uhh… continuing to prop up a business model where all the profit for Canadian broadcasters comes from mainlining American content into Canadian living rooms?

Sure they say that, without the profits from the American shows they couldn’t afford to create all the great Canadian content that they do. Do they mean that rare interstitial content between American shows that they spend the absolute minimum of time and money creating?

Really, if you wanted to create a system where all that matters is quarterly profits for the broadcasters then you couldn’t do much better than the CRTC has done. Hell, when an American broadcaster sends a feed into Canada they are supposed to automatically strip out their own advertisement and substitute in the ads from the Canadian broadcaster- the Canadian broadcaster makes money for doing absolutely nothing but get in the way.

To make it look better to the rest of Canada they suggest that broadcasters put some content on the air that could be wrapped in red tape to meet incredibly lax rules to be considered Canadian content. Of course this FauxCanCon gets the lowest possible expenditure in resources- it takes a lot more effort, skill and money to create content than it does to buy a plane ticket and bid on someone else’s content so teh CRTC isn’t going to push them too hard on it.

When it comes right down to it, Canadian content is not the business of Canadian broadcasters, it is a cost of doing business. Like electricity or printer paper, Canadian content is an expense that they will continuously try to cut in search of a better bottom line. The actual business of Canadian broadcasted is to barge in between American content owners and Canadian citizens so they can transfer something they didn’t create to an audience that they demand be forced to go through them.

Keep in mind that this is standard operating procedure for ALL government regulatory proceedings. The lack of knowledge and experience on the part of the regulators is used by the industry stakeholders to twist and distort the rules to their own needs while asserting that it is all being done in the best interests of the country at large.

The corruption of regulation by those who are regulated isn’t a flaw that can be eliminated, it is a feature that is inherent to regulation. The business and organized labour that comes under the aegis of the regulators will do everything in their power to tilt the field in their favour. This isn’t evil, it is human nature and to think they would do otherwise is naive to a destructive level.

When a regulating body like the CRTC can move billions of dollars into and out of bank accounts with the stroke of a pen, there is no way that the people who have the most to gain or lose can avoid manipulating it. The companies shareholders and the union members could reasonably make a case of negligence against the board members or union reps.

What is taking place with the CRTC is taking place in greater obscurity in the agriculture, banking, housing, energy, resource, health… hell, there is no corner of our lives that is safe from over-regulation and mis-regulation.

That isn’t to say there is no need for regulating, just that the harm done by current regulations is outstripping the good. The cleanest, safest and least corrupting regulation is that which regulates only as much as it needs and no more. For example, the Canadian film and television industry doesn’t need regulating outside the rules against fraud and crime that we are all subject to.

If you really want a corporate oligarchy, all you need to do is create a highly regulated industry.

$683.76 a Pound to Orbit? Holy $#!?

 Falcon9-Heavy-callouts2

Well, the announcement was for something big. Since pretty much the dawning of the space age, the magic number for opening the skies has been < $1,000 per pound to orbit. If we could get the price down under that, a lot of things suddenly come within reach.

For a reference point, the Space Shuttle costs $10,000 to $20,000 per pound depending on what costs are folded into the equation… the best numbers in the range that Space X is throwing out there is $80 million for a launch and 117,000 pounds into orbit. That works out to $683.76 per pound to Low Earth Orbit. Even taking the highest numbers for the Falcon Heavy and the lowest numbers for the Space Shuttle it is still about one tenth the costs.

Sure the Saturn V could lift twice what the Falcon Heavy will lift- but with an inflation adjusted cost of about $1.1 billion it was 13 times more expensive.

For the cost of just a single Saturn V or Space Shuttle launch, just the launch mind you, a private mission could launch three Falcon Heavies and use the $700 million difference to place a Sundancer into a lava tube and have a permanently habitable moon base.

I haven’t done the napkin math but I would think that five to eight of them could launch everything needed for the asteroid retrieval mission I am fictionalizing for Space Inc., the graphic novel/TV series I am working on. Since it is a not-so-secret goal of mine to use the fictional world to jumpstart serious consideration in the real world, this is very good news.

While it isn’t the co-operative venture between Space X and Bigelow Aerospace that I was hoping for, and it is about a year further away than I was predicting, this is a milestone that the space industry has been waiting a half a century for.

Good job Space X.

Something Big?

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With Space X promising “Something Big” in their announcement this morning I can’t help but imagine something like the this painting by Chesley Bonestall.

There are years of pent up frustration with the near complete abandonment of the greatest undertaking that is possible for humanity… and this is challenging me to dream big again.

Elon really should be careful about this sort of hyperbole. I am pretty sure that it is about the Falcon Heavy, which is a great step forward in launch capability, and I don’t want people to be disappointed by its unveiling… but what it got me thinking about was private space stations launching next year.

To be clear, my best guess is an announcement about the Falcon Heavy itself… but what I am dreaming about is a collaboration between Space X and Bigelow Aerospace.

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Bigelow Aerospace has been constructing a manufacturing plant that is to take them into full production of their Sundancer space habitat… Space X is about to unveil the Falcon Heavy which will have the capability to launch a Sundancer into orbit.

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While still not cheap, a $95 million launch of a $100 million (just my ballpark guess of the cost) Sundancer will give you your own space station. Seriously, his time next year, literally thousands of individuals and tens of thousands of companies could write a check to get their own space station.

Either way, the announcement is about to take place so we’ll know momentarily.

We are certainly living in amazing times.

NASA VS Space X

NASA will spend more shutting down a failed launch system than Elon Musk spent building a successful one. http://bit.ly/hjr4VC

Cancelled-Constellation

Seriously, since Obama rightly pulled the plug on the Constellation Program after NASA knew for years that it would be even more expensive than the bloated and crumbling Shuttle program… politicians with their snout in the barrel have wasted over $250 million dollars continuing various dead ended programs and dragging their feet on the shutting down process of others. I wouldn’t be surprised if, once the politicians have had their fill, it came close to $3 billion just to grind the program to a halt.

Not long ago, Elon Musk said that Space X had spent about $250 million to go from an idea to launching rockets.

Falcon_9_Launch

So, starting years after NASA and spending about 5% of what they did… Space X has launched rockets while NASA has rendered out a bunch of spiffy computer models and managed to cobble together a few “proof of concept” bits and pieces using off the shelf hardware that wasn’t ever going to be part of the finished designs.

There was more to the Constellation program but about half of the budget was expected to go to the Ares and Orion portions which are analogous to the Falcon and Dragon from Space X. These two pieces of the Constellation program were expected to be more than $90 billion over the 20 years of the program… but I don’t know if NASA has come in at less than 150% over budget on any of their big programs in the last 40 years.

I suspect Elon Musk won’t spend a tenth of that on getting Space X far past the goals that NASA was going to miss as badly as they did with the Shuttle Program. It makes a difference when it is your own money that you are spending rather than money you’ve taken from someone else.

Obama made one of his few rational decisions when he cancelled the Constellation Program. If NASA is to continue existing at all, it should be in basic research and exploration- not in building the equivalent of trucks, hotels and gas stations.

NASA could offer to buy those services and maybe work with the X Prize Foundation to create incentives for creating and delivering infrastructure. It would cost tens of billions of dollars less and the money would only be spent if the private world comes through.

Amazon KindleDroid? When Not If.

Amazon isn’t releasing hard numbers but have said that the Kindle is now the highest selling item at Amazon. Industry estimates are that they sold about five to six million units last year and that so far this year it is actually outpacing projections so might well top ten million units in 2011. Those rather nebulous numbers mean that we will probably see Amazon sell almost half as many “tablets” as the much hyped Apple this year.

That is with a device that is pretty much relegated to e-reading only; what would happen if Amazon’s next generation Kindle is a full on Android tablet? How about one that is sized between the Kindle 3 and the DX while dropping the physical keyboard and thinning the bezel to allow it a 10“ screen?

First off, why would they want to do that?

Well, Apple is being a real dick with their new “if you want to sell anything through your own app, you need to give us a cut” policy. In the future, when Amazon sells an eBook through their own Kindle app, without ever sending an electron through Apple’s App Store, Apple wants a kickback because… uhhh… ummm… they want more money? It is probably a combination of an overt money grab and a covert herding of iOS users away from Amazon and to iBooks.

Extorting money from our customers? There’s an app for that.

So Amazon doesn’t want to gouge their customers for Apple or lose money if they stick to a level pricing for all devices. They won’t abandon the iOS field but they should want to give a viable option to the iPad.

Another reason is that, while the Kindle is selling well enough right now, it will start to lose sales as full featured tablets gain on it in price, readability and battery life while maintaining a large edge in utility. As more and more people get used to carrying tablets around with them all the time it becomes annoying to carry around a second device just for reading – although a few hundred thousand people do just that, they would probably prefer not to.

Then there is the rich media consumption, you can’t watch video on the Kindle and Amazon really wants to stream you video.

What do they need to add for a KindleDroid?

The primary bit of gear that is holding them back is the display. The Kindle uses a reflective, gray scale E Ink display that is really easy on the eyes and sips power at a tiny fraction of what an LCD does. The same company that makes the current display has recently introduced the “E Ink Triton Imaging Film” display… that is not adequate for motion of touch control. Amazon would have to switch to another source and that would be Qualcomm with their Mirasol technology. It does motion closer to LCDs and they are touting even lower power consumption than the greyscale e-ink displays.

mirasol

The processor also needs to be bumped up. The current CPU is inadequate for some of the more demanding apps and that needs to be addressed. They can stay inside the same processor family and simply move up from the Freescale i.MX353 to something from the i.MX 6 series… they don’t even have to go to the top, the i.MX6Solo should be able to do everything they need.

The Kindle uses a custom Linux OS so it shouldn’t take much to transition to the likewise custom Linux called Android.

Having only 4GB of memory is not a problem when it can hold thousands of books. It is a problem when you want to load up a few dozen apps and store a few full length videos on it. It needs at least 16GB built in and an SDHC card reader to let you bump that up to whatever level you need and/or can afford.

The “nice to have” items like gyroscopic sensors, GPS, front and back facing cameras… if they can get them in there while keeping the price down then I say go for it. If it pushes the price well above the iPad then drop them until the next generation.

What can’t it lose?

There are a lot of people who own both an iPad or Android Tablet and a Kindle. They use the tablets for all the browsing, games, videos and the creativity-lite that they can handle while using the Kindle for reading. They prefer that the batteries last for days and that it is easier on the eyes for extended reading- especially outside.

People praise the iPad for lasting ten hours on a charge… the Kindle DX will run for well over a hundred hours and that means you don’t have to constantly be looking for an outlet to charge your ereader. I’m not saying that the KindleDroid needs to last 150 hours on a charge… but it can’t only last 10 hours. The closer it gets to 50 hours the better. The Mirasol display and the i.MX6Solo have a real shot at deliver an adequate user experience while getting it into that ballpark. Video playback and games will erode most of that battery life down from the Kindle DX’s 170 hours but there is hope that it can still last several times longer than the iPad.

The Kindle 3 sells for only $139 while the Kindle DX costs $379… they don’t want to lose the pricing edge over the iPad but it can’t stay as wide when you are adding a lot of new hardware. The iPad starts at $499 and it would be great if the KindleDroid could come out at $399… but I would buy it if it was the same $499 (or even a bit above) but came with a near 50 hour battery life.

What signs are there for KindleDroid development?

As of March 21, 2011, a search at Lab126 (Amazon’s eReader development team)  with the keyword “android” returns job openings for seven software engineers and three managers. I think that ten job openings are seven or eight too many for just an Android app.

Last year, they bought a small company called Touchco that was developing multi-touch screens… and folded it into Lab126. I really like that this technology has multiple levels of pressure sensitivity and can use styli for accurate touch as well as our clumsy big fingers for general interface control. A Manga Studio app would be great but is not possible without a pressure sensitive stylus.

Amazon Studios and Instant Video for Premium Members means there will be a pile of content that needs a place to go. What with Netflix getting into the content creation racket with House of Cards, how long will it take for Amazon to do the same?* Once they have a series in production, not being able to play the show on their own tablet would be problematic.

Also, how can you own the Internet Movie Database without taking advantage of deep linking content streaming right from the site? You have people looking up movies, television shows, actors, directors and… don’t you need a one click button to watch it on your Amazon Premium account enable tablet as well as you desktop/laptop/TV?

Within the next few days, Amazon will be opening the Amazon Appstore to deliver apps to the Android platform. Now would you do that if you didn’t have any device that actually ran the Android OS? That would be like selling ebooks without an ereader.

So they have tons of content to sell through a more capable tablet and they are hiring engineers who know the Android platform… I may be getting a KindleDroid for next Christmas.

android1

  *Jeff- we need to sit down with Tom Hanks and Morgan Freeman to talk about a dramatic series set in the current civilian space race as Amazon’s first original series. I’ve got a first draft of the pilot done and we can get it into development for this fall if we get right on it… just puttin’ it out there.  

Back to the Moon

There are 29 privately funded teams from 17 countries that beat the deadline and registered to compete in a race to build and transport an unmanned lander and rover to the moon – going after $30 million in prize money put up by the Google Lunar X Prize. There are also a few tens of millions in contracts that would come their way with that access to the surface (and beneath?) of the moon.

GoogleX_moon_20_poster

It saddens me that this gets so little attention from the media. I guess it is more important to know what vapid fame-mongering shenanigans the celebrities were up to last weekend than it is to notice humanities fledgling steps to creating a spacefaring civilization and the diaspora of life into the universe?

Onion.News_

How is it that The Onion, that master of sarcasm and parody, is one of the few places that genuinely understands the magnitude of what happened back in 1969… even as they poke fun?

moon_landing_TheOnion

Hey, I probably watch more film and television than any two typical viewers out there… but how in the name of the Flying Spaghetti Monster can Charlie Sheen’s latest blow and hooker fuelled night of debauchery overshadow the fact that we are currently taking the first steps on the grandest and most important venture that it is possible for any life form to undertake?

We are doing this right now, not far back in history or at some unknown future date. Wrap your mind around this; right now there are a few hundred men and women who are working on the most impactful thing that we as a life form can ever undertake even if we were to survive for another billion years.

(End Rant Mode)

In this video from a few days ago, Peter Diamandis congratulates the teams that made the deadline for entering the Google Lunar X Prize race. It looks like some time in the next two years, one or more private organizations will land a spacecraft of the moon and try to teleoperate a rover over the surface of another world. I think this is worth a little attention between Lady Gaga’s most recent cry for attention and the debut of the next “how-much-will-you-debase-yourself-for-fame” reality shows.

 

Here is a list of the teams that link to their page on the Google Lunar X Prize website. Team Plan-B is actually based in Vancouver and while it is a long shot, it is nice to have a team in our back yard. Odyssey Moon, while it is based on the Isle of Man, is headed up by a Canadian and their prime contractor is BC’s MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates. Another Canadian had to head south to set up Moon Express in Silicon Valley because he didn’t think he could raise the capital in Canada (and there is a story that Canadian creatives can relate to).


Odyssey Moon

Astrobotic

Team Italia

Next Giant Leap

FREDNET

ARCA

Moon Express

STELLAR

JURBAN

Independence-X

Omega Envoy

SYNERGY MOON

Euroluna

SELENE

White Label
Space

Part-Time-Scientists

Selenokhod

C-Base Open Moon

Barcelona Moon Team

Mystery Team: Mystical Moon

Rocket City Space Pioneers

Team Space IL

Team Puli

Team SpaceMETA

Team Plan B

Penn State Lunar Lion Team

Angelicum Chile

Team Indus

Team Phoenicia